Africa poised for mega investment opportunities with energy transition
2 Aug, 2024

 

Olusola Lawson, Co-CEO at African Infrastructure Investment Managers (AIIM)

 

Africa’s energy transition presents one of the most significant investment opportunities globally as the continent strives to improve electricity access while prioritising decarbonisation.

 

Olusola Lawson, Co-CEO at African Infrastructure Investment Managers (AIIM), a division of Old Mutual Alternative Investments (OMAI), says that with the need to add substantial clean energy capacity and develop robust infrastructure, the potential for private investment is vast and growing.

 

“We are witnessing a significant liberalisation of energy markets in South, East and North Africa, creating substantial opportunities for private energy-generation companies to step in and supply commercial and industrial customers directly,” Lawson said.

 

He says South Africa, in particular, exemplifies the urgent need for energy investments as Eskom’s operational failures and maintenance issues have led to persistent blackouts. In response, South Africa has liberalised the energy sector, allowing private firms to construct new power generation facilities and connect directly with private customers without cumbersome licensing processes.

 

Lawson notes that this regulatory shift has spurred momentum in the private market, with platforms like AIIM’s Net Zero Africa (NOA) leading the charge. NOA combines wind, solar, and battery storage to meet over 80% of its commercial and industrial customers’ energy needs, backed by a $180 million equity commitment to expand its capacity.

 

“The opportunity in South Africa is immense,” Lawson added. “With a highly carbon-intensive market and an urgent requirement to add upwards of 50 GW of clean generation capacity over the next decade, private investment is crucial to achieving these goals.”

 

Opportunities across Africa

 

Other African nations are also opening their energy markets to private investment. He cites Morocco passing laws to liberalise its market and Kenya exploring similar reforms as two examples. These changes create significant opportunities for renewable energy projects.

 

However, the continent faces a critical bottleneck in transmission infrastructure, which is essential for connecting renewable energy sources with major consumption centres. “The underlying problem is that many areas suitable for renewable electricity generation are situated far from major offtake centres and industrial energy consumers,” Lawson explained. “There is a pressing need for investment in transmission capacity to interconnect countries and stabilise grid networks across the continent.”

 

In the Democratic Republic of Congo, energy shortages impede mining activities critical for the global energy transition. He says AIIM is exploring opportunities to transfer excess power from neighbouring countries to areas with significant deficits, addressing region-specific challenges and broader transmission issues across Africa.

 

 Investment and technology trends

 

AIIM, one of the largest investors in renewable energy in Africa, has developed over 1.3 GW of wind and solar assets, with more than $1 billion in equity invested across 30 projects. “Utility-scale wind and solar, alongside renewable baseload technologies like hydro and geothermal, continue to attract significant investor interest,” said Lawson. “We are also expanding its NOA platform, targeting a portfolio exceeding 2.5GW.”

 

Lawson points out that digitalisation is another driver of investor strategies. Africa’s rapid data consumption growth necessitates substantial infrastructure investments in fibre optic broadband, telecommunication towers, and data centres. AIIM’s investment in N+ONE, a leading data centre platform in North Africa, exemplifies this trend, with demand for data centres expected to outpace supply by 300% in the coming years.

 

While the immediate opportunity around e-mobility – including electric vehicles, charging stations and related technologies – in Africa remains in its early stages, there are emerging prospects in decarbonising delivery fleets and logistics services.

 

Lawson noted, “Partnerships will be crucial to generating the capital Africa needs for its energy and digital transition. Private capital, both local and international, will play a key role, and innovative instruments like blended finance mechanisms will be essential to attract additional investment.”

 

Lawson emphasises that Africa’s energy and digital transition represents a pivotal moment for the continent. “As countries liberalise their energy markets and private investments flow in, the path to a sustainable and reliable power and digital infrastructure becomes increasingly clear, promising a brighter future for the entire continent.”

 

ENDS

Author

@Olusola Lawson, African Infrastructure Investment Managers
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